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Critically assess an experiment

Assess claims by considering assignment, multiple tests and uncertainty together.

10 concepts29 minutes

Advanced

Think through a case

A team randomly assigns users to two interfaces. Without selecting a primary metric in advance, it tests 20 metrics and highlights one with p=0.04 as proof of success.

Answer three questions about the scenario below.

1 / 3

True or false?

Random assignment removes the false-alarm risk from running many tests.

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2 / 3

True or false?

p=0.04 means the new interface has a 96% probability of being better.

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3 / 3

True or false?

A decision should consider effect size, its confidence interval and implementation cost.

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